Guild

Birds Of Prey

47 species tracked. As a group, birds of prey are +56%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for birds of prey. See the full index history below.

Birds Of Prey Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Birds of prey as a group is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 0.26 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.25–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Birds of prey as a group is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 0.26 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.25–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.280.240.32
20270.280.240.32
20280.280.250.32
20290.290.250.33
20300.290.250.33

Birds Of Prey By State

Birds of prey group trend by state.
Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology →
Alaska-98%19
Maine-55%14
Utah-42%17
Colorado-41%19
Rhode Island-29%6
Wyoming-28%18
New Mexico-27%17
Minnesota-21%16
Massachusetts-17%10
California-14%22
South Dakota-14%16
New Hampshire-10%12
Washington-8%22
Oregon-7%23
New Jersey-3%13
Arizona-2%22
North Dakota+5%15
Idaho+5%17
Arkansas+15%13
Montana+19%19
Texas+25%27
Florida+35%19
Vermont+56%10
Nebraska+65%15
West Virginia+69%13
Nevada+88%12
Michigan+89%15
Kansas+91%15
New York+101%15
Wisconsin+101%15
Oklahoma+113%17
Illinois+120%15
Kentucky+121%14
Mississippi+135%12
Connecticut+137%11
Missouri+138%14
Virginia+149%15
Louisiana+150%16
South Carolina+151%13
Pennsylvania+174%15
Georgia+179%15
Alabama+210%15
Indiana+221%14
Delaware+270%11
North Carolina+295%14
Iowa+307%9
Tennessee+358%14
Ohio+387%13
Maryland+404%14

Member Species

Species in the Birds of prey guild.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →
Snail KiteAccipitridae-95%1978
Eastern Screech-OwlStrigidae-73%1968
White-tailed KiteAccipitridae-72%1970
Harris's HawkAccipitridae-60%1969
Spotted OwlStrigidae-52%1975
Long-eared OwlStrigidae-47%1972
Northern Saw-whet OwlStrigidae-42%1973
Western Screech-OwlStrigidae-34%1973
Northern Hawk OwlStrigidae-23%1984
Sharp-shinned HawkAccipitridae-22%1968
GyrfalconFalconidae-16%1994
American KestrelFalconidae+1%1968
Broad-winged HawkAccipitridae+7%1968
American GoshawkAccipitridae+11%1970
Northern HarrierAccipitridae+15%1968
Short-eared OwlStrigidae+28%1969
American Barn OwlTytonidae+48%1970
Great Horned OwlStrigidae+54%1968
Northern Pygmy-OwlStrigidae+76%1970
Burrowing OwlStrigidae+82%1968
Barred OwlStrigidae+130%1968
Swainson's HawkAccipitridae+161%1969
Cooper's HawkAccipitridae+181%1968
Turkey VultureCathartidae+199%1968
Mississippi KiteAccipitridae+230%1968
Red-tailed HawkAccipitridae+239%1968
Red-shouldered HawkAccipitridae+245%1968
Black VultureCathartidae+259%1968
White-tailed HawkAccipitridae+325%1970
Swallow-tailed KiteAccipitridae+356%1968
Peregrine FalconFalconidae+364%1972
Prairie FalconFalconidae+395%1970
Golden EagleAccipitridae+449%1969
Ferruginous HawkAccipitridae+457%1969
OspreyPandionidae+483%1968
Gray HawkAccipitridae+860%1970
Crested CaracaraFalconidae+873%1969
Bald EagleAccipitridae120×1968
Common Black HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Short-tailed HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Zone-tailed HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Rough-legged HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Flammulated OwlStrigidaen/an/a
Elf OwlStrigidaen/an/a
Great Gray OwlStrigidaen/an/a
Boreal OwlStrigidaen/an/a
MerlinFalconidaen/an/a