Guild

Birds Of Prey

47 species tracked. As a group, birds of prey are +64%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for birds of prey. See the full index history below.

Birds Of Prey Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Birds of prey as a group is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.29 (95% range 0.25–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Birds of prey as a group is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.29 (95% range 0.25–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.280.240.32
20260.280.240.32
20270.280.240.32
20280.290.250.33
20290.290.250.33

Birds Of Prey By State

Birds of prey group trend by state.
Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology →
Alaska-98%19
Maine-59%14
Colorado-42%18
Utah-41%16
Minnesota-32%16
New Mexico-30%16
Massachusetts-21%10
Rhode Island-21%6
California-20%22
Wyoming-20%18
South Dakota-15%16
Oregon-11%23
Washington-7%21
North Dakota+1%15
Vermont+3%10
Arizona+7%22
Montana+13%19
New Jersey+13%13
New Hampshire+16%11
Arkansas+19%13
Idaho+28%17
Texas+32%27
Florida+48%19
Michigan+79%15
Nebraska+80%14
New York+81%15
Oklahoma+82%17
Wisconsin+84%15
West Virginia+88%13
Kansas+88%15
Nevada+89%12
Kentucky+103%14
Illinois+109%15
Connecticut+141%11
Missouri+144%14
Mississippi+150%12
South Carolina+153%13
Louisiana+162%16
Pennsylvania+169%15
Virginia+179%15
Georgia+203%15
Alabama+212%15
Indiana+255%13
Tennessee+299%14
Iowa+305%9
Delaware+321%11
North Carolina+332%14
Ohio+386%13
Maryland+424%14

Member Species

Species in the Birds of prey guild.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →
Snail KiteAccipitridae-91%1978
White-tailed KiteAccipitridae-76%1970
Eastern Screech-OwlStrigidae-74%1968
Spotted OwlStrigidae-64%1975
Harris's HawkAccipitridae-56%1969
Northern Saw-whet OwlStrigidae-52%1973
Long-eared OwlStrigidae-46%1972
GyrfalconFalconidae-43%1994
Northern Hawk OwlStrigidae-36%1984
Western Screech-OwlStrigidae-27%1973
Sharp-shinned HawkAccipitridae-14%1968
American KestrelFalconidae-5%1968
American Barn OwlTytonidae+6%1970
Broad-winged HawkAccipitridae+9%1968
Northern HarrierAccipitridae+9%1968
American GoshawkAccipitridae+9%1970
Short-eared OwlStrigidae+34%1969
Great Horned OwlStrigidae+50%1968
Burrowing OwlStrigidae+56%1968
Northern Pygmy-OwlStrigidae+98%1970
Barred OwlStrigidae+124%1968
Swainson's HawkAccipitridae+172%1969
Cooper's HawkAccipitridae+184%1968
Mississippi KiteAccipitridae+202%1968
Turkey VultureCathartidae+207%1968
White-tailed HawkAccipitridae+252%1970
Red-shouldered HawkAccipitridae+255%1968
Red-tailed HawkAccipitridae+255%1968
Black VultureCathartidae+291%1968
Swallow-tailed KiteAccipitridae+359%1968
Prairie FalconFalconidae+372%1970
Golden EagleAccipitridae+410%1969
Peregrine FalconFalconidae+413%1972
OspreyPandionidae+461%1968
Ferruginous HawkAccipitridae+491%1969
Gray HawkAccipitridae+875%1970
Crested CaracaraFalconidae+945%1969
Bald EagleAccipitridae124×1968
Common Black HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Short-tailed HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Zone-tailed HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Rough-legged HawkAccipitridaen/an/a
Flammulated OwlStrigidaen/an/a
Elf OwlStrigidaen/an/a
Great Gray OwlStrigidaen/an/a
Boreal OwlStrigidaen/an/a
MerlinFalconidaen/an/a