Guild · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Birds Of Prey In Arizona
22 species in this guild. As a group they are +7% since 1970.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for birds of prey in Arizona. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Birds of prey in Arizona is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 0.87 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.57 (95% range 0.07–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-34%Change by 2029
0.57Projected 2029 index
0.07–1.195% range
±31.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.59 | 0.09 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.59 | 0.09 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.57 | 0.07 | 1.1 |
Member Species In Arizona
| Western Screech-Owl | Strigidae | -86% |
| Sharp-shinned Hawk | Accipitridae | -79% |
| Northern Pygmy-Owl | Strigidae | -69% |
| Golden Eagle | Accipitridae | -69% |
| Peregrine Falcon | Falconidae | -64% |
| Elf Owl | Strigidae | -60% |
| White-tailed Kite | Accipitridae | -57% |
| American Barn Owl | Tytonidae | -57% |
| American Goshawk | Accipitridae | -56% |
| American Kestrel | Falconidae | -40% |
| Cooper's Hawk | Accipitridae | -26% |
| Zone-tailed Hawk | Accipitridae | -25% |
| Prairie Falcon | Falconidae | -13% |
| Harris's Hawk | Accipitridae | -3% |
| Osprey | Pandionidae | -1% |
| Great Horned Owl | Strigidae | +2% |
| Black Vulture | Cathartidae | +46% |
| Burrowing Owl | Strigidae | +52% |
| Turkey Vulture | Cathartidae | +58% |
| Red-tailed Hawk | Accipitridae | +116% |
| Swainson's Hawk | Accipitridae | +616% |
| Gray Hawk | Accipitridae | +653% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.