BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Arizona has surged: up 116% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+116%Since 1970
88Routes In State
56Years

Notable Red-tailed Hawk Trends in Arizona

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Arizona: up 116% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Red-tailed Hawk Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Arizona is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.5 (95% range 1.4–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
1.4–3.695% range
±13.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.41.43.5
20262.51.43.5
20272.51.43.5
20282.51.43.5
20292.51.43.6

Red-tailed Hawk Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Arizona.
Organ Pipe1120231990
Sunizona 21020242001
Sunizona719971969
San Simon620241974
Palo Verde620131992
Cutter620141992
Blue519901974
Dateland520241990
Lukeville519811975
Cactus Forest520241993
Pomerene420241968
Redington420231993
Mcneal420241992
Wickenburg420232017
Hope420091990
Cutter 2420182015
Bates Well420231995
Red Rock 2420242015
Wikieup320241992
Patagonia320241969
Alamo Res.320241992
Gila Bend320241995
Bartlett Res320241992
Red Rock320141993
Amado320221993

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.