BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesBirds of prey

Red-tailed Hawk in Oklahoma has increased: up 40% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+40%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
70Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-tailed Hawk Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-tailed Hawk in Oklahoma. See the full index history below.

Red-tailed Hawk Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 44% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.1–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+44%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–4.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 44% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.1–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.02.03.9
20273.02.04.0
20283.02.14.0
20293.12.14.0
20303.12.14.0

Red-tailed Hawk Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cashion1920241992
Sickles1320211992
Douglas1120221967
Cooperton1020251992
Ft Sill East1019941994
Reed920191968
Cookietown820061968
Keetonville820221992
Jet720241994
Verden620171967
Wakita620161967
Canadian520171968
Arapaho520141992
Clear Lake520251993
Wichita Mtns East520252005
Welch420251967
Chester419871967
Colony419951995
Tatums420251992
Wainwright420131992
Phroso320251991
Baron320231967
Choctaw320231968
Grimes320251969
Tegarden320161967

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.