Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in New York
Red-tailed Hawk in New York has surged: up 201% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+201%Since 1968
114Routes In State
58Years
Notable Red-tailed Hawk Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-tailed Hawk has surged in New York: up 201% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Red-tailed Hawk Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in New York is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.96 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.80 (95% range 0.52–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.80Projected 2029 index
0.52–1.195% range
±13.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.78 | 0.51 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.51 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.79 | 0.51 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.79 | 0.52 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.80 | 0.52 | 1.1 |
Red-tailed Hawk Survey Routes in New York
| Orleans | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Huntington | 5 | 2023 | 1991 |
| Manorville | 4 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Branchport | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Castile | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Ballston Lk | 3 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Whitney Pt | 3 | 2009 | 1970 |
| Romulus | 3 | 1997 | 1968 |
| Trumansburg | 3 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Centerville | 3 | 2012 | 1970 |
| Sheridan | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Nashville | 3 | 2018 | 1970 |
| Churchville | 3 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Argyle | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Naples | 3 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Crescent | 3 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Hauppauge | 2 | 2018 | 1990 |
| Rhinebeck | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Middletown | 2 | 2011 | 1975 |
| Austerlitz | 2 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Meridale | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Laurens | 2 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Corbettsvile | 2 | 2019 | 1976 |
| Dryden | 2 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Macdougall | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.