Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Texas
Red-tailed Hawk in Texas has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+76%Since 1969
235Routes In State
57Years
Notable Red-tailed Hawk Trends in Texas
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Texas: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Red-tailed Hawk Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Texas is projected to rise about 82% by 2029 — from 0.86 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 1.0–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+82%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
1.0–2.195% range
±56.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.5 | 0.96 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 1.5 | 0.97 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 1.5 | 0.98 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 1.5 | 1.00 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
Red-tailed Hawk Survey Routes in Texas
| Manor | 8 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Panhandle | 8 | 2022 | 2011 |
| Peach Creek | 7 | 1992 | 1967 |
| Thornton 3 | 7 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Ft. Davis | 6 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Longfellow | 5 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Cornudas | 5 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Floydada | 5 | 2022 | 2005 |
| Silver | 5 | 2019 | 2004 |
| Harper | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Kosse | 4 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Henrietta | 4 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Hot Springs | 4 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Childress | 4 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Kermit | 4 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Decatur | 4 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Paige | 4 | 2024 | 2015 |
| La Pryor | 3 | 2017 | 1969 |
| Arenosa Crk | 3 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Boerne | 3 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Lone Oak | 3 | 2022 | 1968 |
| New Waverly | 3 | 2023 | 1974 |
| Fitzhugh | 3 | 1982 | 1969 |
| Valley Spgs | 3 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Thornton | 3 | 1984 | 1968 |
Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.