BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Ohio

All statesBirds of prey

Red-tailed Hawk in Ohio has surged: up 366% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+366%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
89Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-tailed Hawk Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Ohio: up 366% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-tailed Hawk Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Ohio is projected to rise about 22% by 2030 — from 1.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 1.6–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+22%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–2.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Ohio is projected to rise about 22% by 2030 — from 1.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 1.6–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.01.52.5
20272.01.62.5
20282.11.62.5
20292.11.62.6
20302.11.62.6

Red-tailed Hawk Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
New Somerset819931973
Kunkle720241992
Marion 2620252024
Omega520241969
Lockport420251967
Bloomville420251993
Pittsfield420241992
Lenox420241970
No Kenton420251971
Lucerne420251992
Dresden420251966
Harveysburg419961967
Wilmington419961967
Xenia420171986
N Baltimore320191966
Bismark319951976
Wayland320171992
Garrettsvile319911968
Troy319951967
Cosmos320191977
Kings Creek320151993
Adamsville319891971
Darrtown320211969
Cuba320241992
Ash Ridge320211996

Red-tailed Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.