Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Goshawk Population Trend in Arizona
American Goshawk in Arizona has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
-56%Since 1985
14Routes In State
24Years
Notable American Goshawk Trends in Arizona
long arc declinecomputed index
American Goshawk has fallen sharply in Arizona: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
American Goshawk Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, American Goshawk in Arizona is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2028
0.02Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.0695% range
±39.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
American Goshawk Survey Routes in Arizona
| Alpine | 2 | 2007 | 2003 |
| Patagonia | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| House Rock | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Pinetop | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Portal | 1 | 2014 | 1976 |
| Tsaile | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Sawmill | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Sprucedale | 1 | 2006 | 1994 |
| Prescott | 1 | 2000 | 1995 |
| Mt. Graham | 1 | 2014 | 1998 |
| Happy Jack | 1 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Dry Park | 1 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Blue | 1 | 1991 | 1986 |
| Maine | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
American Goshawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.