BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Goshawk Population Trend in New York

All statesGeneralists

American Goshawk in New York has risen sharply: up 53% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+53%Since 1973TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
25YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Goshawk Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Goshawk in New York. See the full index history below.

American Goshawk Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, American Goshawk in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±70.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Goshawk in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.020.000.04
20250.020.000.04
20260.020.000.04
20270.020.000.04
20280.020.000.04

American Goshawk Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording American Goshawk in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Oriskany Fls219791979
W Shokan119831983
Ballston Lk119941994
Medusa120231999
Duanesburg119971997
Laurens120222022
Whitney Pt119941994
Horseshoe L.120172017
Orleans119891989
Cattaraugus119871987
St Regis Fls120121984
Pulaski119931981
Mckeever119991981
Highmarket119811981
Oneida119931993
Clinton119871987
Old Forge119731973
Blue Ridge S119941994
North River119941994
North Easton119861986
S Horicon120052004
Ogdensburg119941987
Gabriels119981981
Underwood119701969
Crescent119991999

American Goshawk Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutidahomainemassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexicooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotautahvermontwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.