Guild · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Birds Of Prey In Alaska

19 species in this guild. As a group they are -98% since 1973.

Guild Signals

guild collapsecomputed index

Birds of prey as a group have collapsed in Alaska, down 98% since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Birds of prey in Alaska is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1316.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.007.095% range
±1316.3%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.007.0
20260.000.007.0
20270.000.007.0
20280.000.007.0
20290.000.007.0

Member Species In Alaska

Birds of prey species in Alaska.
Golden EagleAccipitridae-77%
American GoshawkAccipitridae-77%
Bald EagleAccipitridae-76%
Northern Hawk OwlStrigidae-76%
Boreal OwlStrigidae-72%
Northern HarrierAccipitridae-66%
Sharp-shinned HawkAccipitridae-60%
GyrfalconFalconidae-57%
Short-eared OwlStrigidae-54%
Great Horned OwlStrigidae-49%
American KestrelFalconidae-49%
Northern Saw-whet OwlStrigidae-18%
Northern Pygmy-OwlStrigidae-9%
Red-tailed HawkAccipitridae+3%
Great Gray OwlStrigidae+48%
Peregrine FalconFalconidae+48%
MerlinFalconidae+76%
Rough-legged HawkAccipitridae+121%
OspreyPandionidae+359%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.