BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 185% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+185%Since 1968
278Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 185% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 1.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.9–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+28%Change by 2029
2.4Projected 2029 index
1.9–3.095% range
±21.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.31.72.8
20262.31.82.9
20272.41.82.9
20282.41.82.9
20292.41.93.0

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
LucerneMISSOURI292021
Trading PostKANSAS122024
HumboldtKANSAS112022
HarrisonvilleMISSOURI102023
GrantvilleKANSAS82022
KeetonvilleOKLAHOMA82022
JamestownINDIANA72024
BrookvilleINDIANA72024
DoverKANSAS72022
PittsburgKANSAS72021
SeveranceKANSAS72024
FilleyMISSOURI72023
NorborneMISSOURI72023
HumboldtNEBRASKA72024
KunkleOHIO72024
JanesvilleILLINOIS62024
RensselaerINDIANA62024
ThrallKANSAS61970
BolckowMISSOURI61992
EmdenMISSOURI62024
Marion 2OHIO62024
WayneILLINOIS52024
MonicaILLINOIS52017
FairburyILLINOIS52024
PontiacILLINOIS52023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.