BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Chihuahuan Desert has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+19%Since 1969
55Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Red-tailed Hawk in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.86–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+55%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.86–3.095% range
±52.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.90.833.0
20261.90.843.0
20271.90.843.0
20281.90.853.0
20291.90.863.0

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Chihuahuan Desert.
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO82017
MesillaNEW-MEXICO62000
Ft. DavisTEXAS62023
Sunshine WllNEW-MEXICO52024
LongfellowTEXAS52024
CornudasTEXAS52018
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO42024
Red RockNEW-MEXICO42024
Hot SpringsTEXAS42019
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO32023
EngleNEW-MEXICO31989
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO32024
SlaughterTEXAS32006
Dove Mtn.TEXAS32006
MarathonTEXAS32023
RoswellNEW-MEXICO22023
JornadaNEW-MEXICO22023
LakewoodNEW-MEXICO22019
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO22019
PinonNEW-MEXICO22024
ComstockTEXAS22023
Black GapTEXAS22022
OzonaTEXAS22014
Casa PiedraTEXAS22021
LangtryTEXAS22000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.