BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+157%Since 1969
129Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.6–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+25%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.6–2.495% range
±16.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.42.3
20261.91.52.3
20271.91.52.3
20282.01.52.4
20292.01.62.4

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Shortgrass Prairie.
Arsenal 2COLORADO172024
ArsenalCOLORADO122015
HaswellCOLORADO92024
GilpinCOLORADO82024
Adams Co.COLORADO82022
PanhandleTEXAS82022
Last ChanceCOLORADO72016
NunnCOLORADO72021
CrowleyCOLORADO62024
TrincheraCOLORADO62022
Last Chance 2COLORADO62024
ElbertCOLORADO62024
VariaderoNEW-MEXICO62021
YoderWYOMING62024
Doyle Bridge 2COLORADO52023
CrawfordNEBRASKA52024
FloydadaTEXAS52022
KiowaCOLORADO42018
Kiowa 2COLORADO42024
StonehamCOLORADO42019
KirkCOLORADO42023
NeegrandeCOLORADO42024
Prospect Valley 2COLORADO42023
Murray LakeNEBRASKA42024
MarslandNEBRASKA42021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.