Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-tailed Hawk In Piedmont
Red-tailed Hawk in Piedmont has surged: up 601% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+601%Since 1968
162Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Piedmont: up 601% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Piedmont is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 1.0–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
1.0–1.895% range
±29%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.3 | 0.95 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.97 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 1.4 | 0.99 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 7 | 2024 |
| Jacobus | PENNSYLVANIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 5 | 2024 |
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 5 | 2024 |
| Collegeville | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Mount Joy | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Bendersville | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Leola | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Wylliesburg | VIRGINIA | 5 | 2019 |
| Finchley | VIRGINIA | 5 | 2021 |
| Good Hope | GEORGIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Sunny Side | GEORGIA | 4 | 2019 |
| Doe Run | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2021 |
| West Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 1996 |
| Mt Gretna 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2022 |
| Shrewsbury | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2022 |
| Ridgeway | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 2011 |
| Lincolnton | GEORGIA | 3 | 2017 |
| Fairplay | GEORGIA | 3 | 1991 |
| Piedmont Nwr | GEORGIA | 3 | 2002 |
| Upper Xrds | MARYLAND | 3 | 2008 |
| Sandbrook | NEW-JERSEY | 3 | 2024 |
| Croton | NEW-JERSEY | 3 | 2003 |
| Hulls Xroads | NORTH-CAROLINA | 3 | 2023 |
| Monticello | NORTH-CAROLINA | 3 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.