BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+88%Since 1969
74Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.7–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+79%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
1.7–3.495% range
±52%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.51.63.3
20262.51.63.4
20272.51.63.4
20282.51.63.4
20292.61.73.4

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Oaks and Prairies.
Peach CreekTEXAS71992
Thornton 3TEXAS72024
TatumsOKLAHOMA42022
KosseTEXAS42023
HenriettaTEXAS42022
DecaturTEXAS42021
PaigeTEXAS42024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA32023
DuncanOKLAHOMA32024
SkiatookOKLAHOMA32019
Arenosa CrkTEXAS32024
Lone OakTEXAS32022
ThorntonTEXAS31984
OlaTEXAS32024
DallasTEXAS32024
GainesvilleTEXAS32024
College StnTEXAS31990
CayugaTEXAS32024
CarlosTEXAS32024
CreedmoreTEXAS32014
BonnerTEXAS32024
BrucevilleTEXAS32023
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA22018
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA22008
BeggsOKLAHOMA22023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.