BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

13×Since 1969
67Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 34% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 1.1–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.2%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+34%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
1.1–2.095% range
±62.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.41.01.9
20261.51.01.9
20271.51.11.9
20281.51.12.0
20291.51.12.0

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
HarrisburgARKANSAS62012
BrousvilleLOUISIANA62024
AugustaARKANSAS52001
River RoadLOUISIANA52024
BlodgettMISSOURI52024
EudoraARKANSAS42016
DundeeMISSISSIPPI42022
SaffellARKANSAS32018
Hickory RidgeARKANSAS32021
EnglandARKANSAS32022
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA32008
MoonMISSISSIPPI32021
Tchula 3MISSISSIPPI32024
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI32024
DeventerMISSOURI32023
HaytiMISSOURI32021
HughesARKANSAS22022
DellARKANSAS22024
GillettARKANSAS22016
Augusta 2ARKANSAS22016
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS22013
BardwellKENTUCKY22001
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY22023
RayvilleLOUISIANA22008
FloydLOUISIANA22021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.