BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 250% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+250%Since 1968
162Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 250% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.3–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+32%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
1.3–2.195% range
±18.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.61.22.1
20261.71.22.1
20271.71.32.1
20281.71.32.1
20291.71.32.1

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Central Hardwoods.
FarwellARKANSAS132018
CelestineINDIANA82024
RussellARKANSAS62021
WrigleyTENNESSEE62022
RoyaltonILLINOIS52024
VevayINDIANA52024
CascadeMISSOURI52024
SedaliaMISSOURI52024
Belotes BendTENNESSEE52009
Ozark NfARKANSAS42005
BrownvilleILLINOIS42023
NewberryINDIANA42024
KeysburgKENTUCKY42024
Rueter 2MISSOURI42024
GlenTENNESSEE42024
SwaimALABAMA32023
Wheeler DamALABAMA32023
Carter GroveALABAMA32023
Beaverdam LkILLINOIS32023
SanduskyILLINOIS32023
AzaliaINDIANA32024
Indian SpgsINDIANA32023
New PhilaINDIANA32023
CorydonINDIANA32024
GeorgiaINDIANA32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.