BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Sierra Madre Occidental has risen sharply: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+72%Since 1970
36Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has risen sharply in Sierra Madre Occidental: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.88–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.88–3.195% range
±15.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.00.863.1
20262.00.863.1
20272.00.873.1
20282.00.873.1
20292.00.883.1

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Sunizona 2ARIZONA102024
SunizonaARIZONA71997
San SimonARIZONA62024
CutterARIZONA62014
BlueARIZONA51990
PomereneARIZONA42024
RedingtonARIZONA42023
McnealARIZONA42024
PatagoniaARIZONA32024
Bartlett ResARIZONA32024
AmadoARIZONA32022
Clay SpringARIZONA32024
SprucedaleARIZONA32023
PrescottARIZONA22017
Mormon LakeARIZONA21974
Aztec PeakARIZONA21977
Peña BlancaARIZONA22024
Mt. GrahamARIZONA22023
SahuaritaARIZONA22023
Happy JackARIZONA22024
Carr MtnARIZONA22024
PortalARIZONA22024
DragoonARIZONA22008
ReserveNEW-MEXICO22023
Vicks PeakNEW-MEXICO22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.