BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+202%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
324Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-tailed Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 0.82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.95 (95% range 0.69–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.95Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.69–1.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 0.82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.95 (95% range 0.69–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.910.651.2
20260.920.661.2
20270.930.671.2
20280.940.681.2
20290.950.691.2

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MansfieldTENNESSEE112024
BethanyGEORGIA62023
ForestonSOUTH-CAROLINA62019
PinewoodSOUTH-CAROLINA62019
HendersonGEORGIA52024
Mt CarmelMISSISSIPPI52016
SpeedNORTH-CAROLINA52024
DortchesNORTH-CAROLINA52024
HumboldtTENNESSEE52024
CornlandVIRGINIA52014
Defuniak SprFLORIDA42021
VidaliaGEORGIA42024
Thornton RoadGEORGIA42018
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI42010
Dismal SwampNORTH-CAROLINA42014
HardeevilleSOUTH-CAROLINA42019
GrangeburgALABAMA32024
AutaugavilleALABAMA32024
Hildreth 2FLORIDA32022
DarienGEORGIA32017
JacksonboroGEORGIA32024
NeedmoreGEORGIA31980
Pineora 2GEORGIA32024
BargesGEORGIA32022
BentonMISSISSIPPI32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.