Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-tailed Hawk In Appalachian Mountains
Red-tailed Hawk in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 335% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+335%Since 1968
373Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 335% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 38% by 2029 — from 0.72 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.82–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+38%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.82–1.295% range
±12.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.96 | 0.78 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.97 | 0.80 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.99 | 0.81 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.82 | 1.2 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Williamsport | MARYLAND | 8 | 2024 |
| Davis Crossroads | GEORGIA | 6 | 2019 |
| Stonecreek | OHIO | 6 | 2024 |
| Lovell | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2019 |
| Corryton Rd | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2019 |
| Stevenson | ALABAMA | 5 | 2024 |
| Mountain Cty | GEORGIA | 5 | 2024 |
| High Point | NEW-JERSEY | 5 | 2023 |
| Omega | OHIO | 5 | 2024 |
| Peru Mills | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Bloomsbury | NEW-JERSEY | 4 | 2024 |
| Dover | NEW-JERSEY | 4 | 2023 |
| Cherokee | NORTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 2016 |
| Arnot | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Little Marsh | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2022 |
| Williamsburg | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2023 |
| Middletown | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Brunnerville | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2009 |
| Doylesburg | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2018 |
| Brunnerville 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Greensport | ALABAMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Brooksville | ALABAMA | 3 | 2023 |
| Oneonta | ALABAMA | 3 | 2019 |
| Pleasant Hill | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Potomac Park | MARYLAND | 3 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.