BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 106% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+106%Since 1968
160Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 106% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 41% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.2–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+41%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.195% range
±36.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.61.22.1
20261.61.22.1
20271.61.22.1
20281.71.22.1
20291.71.22.1

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
PackertownINDIANA92004
WhitewaterMINNESOTA92000
OmroWISCONSIN72001
Columbia CtyINDIANA52024
NashvilleMICHIGAN52024
Le CenterMINNESOTA52023
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA52022
TrempealeauWISCONSIN52021
Mukwonago 2WISCONSIN52024
FestinaIOWA42024
Belding 2MICHIGAN42024
EvergreenMINNESOTA42021
GlenwoodMINNESOTA42019
ManitowocWISCONSIN42021
Omro 2WISCONSIN42024
GrimmsWISCONSIN42021
BeloitWISCONSIN42024
GalesburgMICHIGAN32024
North BranchMICHIGAN31998
Drayton PlnsMICHIGAN31977
DeckervilleMICHIGAN32024
CohoctahMICHIGAN32024
HartlandMICHIGAN31996
New BuffaloMICHIGAN32014
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.