BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-tailed Hawk In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

Red-tailed Hawk in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 130% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+130%Since 1975
36Routes In Region
42Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-tailed Hawk has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 130% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-tailed Hawk in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 160% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.99 (95% range 0.48–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+160%Change by 2029
0.99Projected 2029 index
0.48–1.595% range
±73.2%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.930.421.4
20260.940.431.5
20270.960.451.5
20280.970.461.5
20290.990.481.5

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Red-tailed Hawk in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
LafitteLOUISIANA51978
RichardLOUISIANA42017
HackberryLOUISIANA32013
Forked IslandLOUISIANA32019
McfaddinTEXAS32016
EstherLOUISIANA22024
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA22019
KatyTEXAS22024
Rock IslandTEXAS22024
San PedroTEXAS22023
Moon Lake 2TEXAS22023
Goliad PrairieTEXAS22015
GlencoeLOUISIANA12018
MauriceLOUISIANA12023
KaplanLOUISIANA12023
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA12014
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA12019
VintonLOUISIANA12009
WoodlawnLOUISIANA12018
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA12011
PetronilaTEXAS12006
Hinkles FerTEXAS12022
IndianolaTEXAS12023
WinnieTEXAS12023
StowellTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.