BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Georgia

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Georgia has surged: up 33× on the route-weighted index since 1982.

33×Since 1982TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
86Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
44YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Canada Goose Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Canada Goose has surged in Georgia: up 33× on the route-weighted index since 1982.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Georgia is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 3.5–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.3Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.5–7.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Georgia is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 3.5–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19802029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.83.06.7
20264.93.16.8
20275.13.26.9
20285.23.37.0
20295.33.57.1

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Canada Goose in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Davis Crossroads13220212011
Bethany11620242017
Kite Lake5420232015
Coffee Co3420242002
Macon2820081996
Union2820232011
White Hill2620242005
Holly Sprs2220021998
Boston2020242003
Stoney Point1920072007
Henderson1820242002
Vidalia1820242002
Hiram1720172017
Athens1620241994
Lacross1620151996
Cartersville1520211995
Fitzgerald1420241996
Mountain Cty1420101988
Wadley1420241999
Cotton1220232006
Curry Hill1120192009
Ware Co1020192019
Millen1020212007
Ball Ground820212019
Thornton Road820162016

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.