BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Tennessee has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

12×Since 1979
41Routes In State
47Years

Notable Canada Goose Trends in Tennessee

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Tennessee: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.7 (95% range 2.6–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
2.6–6.895% range
±15.6%Backtest error
19742029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.42.36.5
20264.52.46.5
20274.52.46.6
20284.62.56.7
20294.72.66.8

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Canada Goose in Tennessee.
Jefferson Cty6120061990
Whiteville3120241996
Signal Mtn2120241985
Tiptonville1720121999
Humboldt1220242000
Peytonsville1120241991
Pond Creek920241994
Jones Gap820112009
White House820191994
Union Hill720212001
Pawpaw620121987
Jasper620242003
Silerton520241991
Wrigley520161991
Bradyville520191994
Glen520241992
Cornpone420182011
Collinwood420161999
Petersburg420062000
Silver Pt320231994
Mt Olive320171989
Moscow220192001
Brownsville219991999
Big Sandy220232014
Trenton220051990

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.