BirdAnalyst
Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Indiana

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Indiana has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

17×Since 1979TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
47YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Canada Goose Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Canada Goose has surged in Indiana: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1979.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Indiana is projected to rise about 75% by 2029 — from 6.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 4.8–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+75%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.8–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±39%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
19772029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025104.216
2026104.416
2027104.516
2028104.716
2029114.816

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Canada Goose in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pimento7020241986
Friendswood5220241988
Packertown 24620242005
Cuba3620212017
Brazil3320221992
Laporte3220222004
Montpelier2920232018
Decatur2920241999
Kokomo2820171994
Portage 22620242006
Tipton2219921986
Cross Plains2220222000
Clear Spring2120231998
Lagrange1820192000
Georgia1620192011
Kewanna1520221993
Shelbyville1520192016
Rensselaer1520221999
Plainfield1519991999
Brookville1420241992
Knox1320241982
Maplewood1320192002
Gary1219941983
Middletown1220241990
Vevay1220011994

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.