Guild
Waterfowl
38 species tracked. As a group, waterfowl are +134% since 1968.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for waterfowl. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl as a group is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.44 (95% range 0.36–0.53). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+47%Change by 2029
0.44Projected 2029 index
0.36–0.5395% range
±27.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| 2026 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| 2027 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| 2028 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| 2029 | 0.44 | 0.36 | 0.53 |
Waterfowl By State
| Alaska | -69% | 25 |
| Rhode Island | -61% | 3 |
| Kansas | -40% | 10 |
| Washington | -34% | 20 |
| Montana | -17% | 21 |
| Colorado | -2% | 14 |
| South Dakota | -1% | 14 |
| Florida | +2% | 7 |
| Arizona | +3% | 5 |
| Texas | +5% | 15 |
| Connecticut | +47% | 7 |
| Georgia | +53% | 4 |
| California | +65% | 17 |
| Oregon | +66% | 19 |
| Nebraska | +73% | 11 |
| Idaho | +88% | 18 |
| Maine | +109% | 9 |
| South Carolina | +129% | 3 |
| Minnesota | +142% | 18 |
| Nevada | +159% | 13 |
| New Hampshire | +162% | 6 |
| New York | +175% | 8 |
| Massachusetts | +183% | 7 |
| Wyoming | +187% | 19 |
| Wisconsin | +201% | 13 |
| New Jersey | +252% | 6 |
| Louisiana | +316% | 7 |
| Michigan | +318% | 10 |
| North Dakota | +321% | 16 |
| Pennsylvania | +380% | 7 |
| New Mexico | +396% | 11 |
| Tennessee | +408% | 3 |
| Utah | +461% | 15 |
| Arkansas | +465% | 5 |
| Ohio | +491% | 4 |
| Vermont | +546% | 7 |
| West Virginia | +606% | 3 |
| Maryland | +606% | 5 |
| Oklahoma | +853% | 5 |
| Indiana | +890% | 5 |
| Missouri | 12× | 3 |
| Illinois | 12× | 5 |
| Virginia | 12× | 4 |
| Iowa | 13× | 5 |
| Alabama | 13× | 4 |
| Kentucky | 13× | 3 |
| Mississippi | 13× | 4 |
| North Carolina | 13× | 4 |
| Delaware | 22× | 4 |
Member Species
| American Black Duck | Anatidae | -96% | 1968 |
| Mottled Duck | Anatidae | -78% | 1968 |
| Mute Swan | Anatidae | -57% | 1968 |
| Surf Scoter | Anatidae | -24% | 1986 |
| Blue-winged Teal | Anatidae | -1% | 1968 |
| Northern Pintail | Anatidae | +10% | 1968 |
| White-winged Scoter | Anatidae | +11% | 1984 |
| Mallard | Anatidae | +50% | 1968 |
| Long-tailed Duck | Anatidae | +57% | 1987 |
| Wood Duck | Anatidae | +62% | 1968 |
| Red-breasted Merganser | Anatidae | +84% | 1969 |
| Black Scoter | Anatidae | +99% | 1986 |
| Fulvous Whistling-Duck | Anatidae | +103% | 1969 |
| Redhead | Anatidae | +121% | 1969 |
| Mexican Duck | Anatidae | +143% | 1986 |
| Cinnamon Teal | Anatidae | +148% | 1970 |
| Hooded Merganser | Anatidae | +149% | 1968 |
| Ruddy Duck | Anatidae | +152% | 1969 |
| Northern Shoveler | Anatidae | +166% | 1969 |
| Gadwall | Anatidae | +178% | 1969 |
| Muscovy Duck | Anatidae | +205% | 1989 |
| Greater Scaup | Anatidae | +234% | 1984 |
| Green-winged Teal | Anatidae | +236% | 1968 |
| Harlequin Duck | Anatidae | +239% | 1982 |
| American Wigeon | Anatidae | +295% | 1968 |
| Canvasback | Anatidae | +303% | 1969 |
| Trumpeter Swan | Anatidae | +420% | 1974 |
| Tundra Swan | Anatidae | +444% | 1986 |
| Bufflehead | Anatidae | +484% | 1971 |
| Common Goldeneye | Anatidae | +533% | 1970 |
| Barrow's Goldeneye | Anatidae | +730% | 1972 |
| Lesser Scaup | Anatidae | +823% | 1968 |
| Common Eider | Anatidae | +833% | 1983 |
| Ring-necked Duck | Anatidae | +840% | 1968 |
| Common Merganser | Anatidae | 14× | 1968 |
| Black-bellied Whistling-Duck | Anatidae | 15× | 1969 |
| Greater White-fronted Goose | Anatidae | 42× | 1988 |
| Canada Goose | Anatidae | 111× | 1968 |