Guild · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Waterfowl In New Mexico
11 species in this guild. As a group they are +396% since 1970.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for waterfowl in New Mexico. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in New Mexico is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 0.81 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.53 (95% range 0.06–1.00). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-35%Change by 2029
0.53Projected 2029 index
0.06–1.0095% range
±52.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.51 | 0.04 | 0.98 |
| 2026 | 0.51 | 0.04 | 0.98 |
| 2027 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.99 |
| 2028 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.99 |
| 2029 | 0.53 | 0.06 | 1.00 |
Member Species In New Mexico
| Blue-winged Teal | Anatidae | -94% |
| Green-winged Teal | Anatidae | -92% |
| Redhead | Anatidae | -89% |
| Mexican Duck | Anatidae | -83% |
| Ruddy Duck | Anatidae | -78% |
| Northern Shoveler | Anatidae | -70% |
| Mallard | Anatidae | -69% |
| Cinnamon Teal | Anatidae | -59% |
| Northern Pintail | Anatidae | -59% |
| Gadwall | Anatidae | -2% |
| Canada Goose | Anatidae | 23× |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.