BirdAnalyst
Guild · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Waterfowl In New York

All statesNew York

8 species in this guild. As a group they are +175% since 1968.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for waterfowl in New York. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in New York is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.5–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
1.5–3.295% range
±30.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.21.33.1
20262.31.43.1
20272.31.43.2
20282.31.43.2
20292.31.53.2

Member Species In New York

Waterfowl species in New York.
American Black DuckAnatidae-95%
Blue-winged TealAnatidae-50%
Mute SwanAnatidae-42%
MallardAnatidae-25%
Hooded MerganserAnatidae-1%
Wood DuckAnatidae+94%
Common MerganserAnatidae+379%
Canada GooseAnatidae37×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.