Guild · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Waterfowl In Texas
15 species in this guild. As a group they are +5% since 1969.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for waterfowl in Texas. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in Texas is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.43 (95% range 0.16–0.70). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+11%Change by 2029
0.43Projected 2029 index
0.16–0.7095% range
±28.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0.71 |
| 2026 | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0.71 |
| 2027 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.70 |
| 2028 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.70 |
| 2029 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.70 |
Member Species In Texas
| Mottled Duck | Anatidae | -88% |
| Northern Pintail | Anatidae | -63% |
| Redhead | Anatidae | -51% |
| Mexican Duck | Anatidae | -39% |
| Gadwall | Anatidae | -30% |
| Wood Duck | Anatidae | -28% |
| Ruddy Duck | Anatidae | -25% |
| Green-winged Teal | Anatidae | -1% |
| Northern Shoveler | Anatidae | +27% |
| Fulvous Whistling-Duck | Anatidae | +29% |
| Cinnamon Teal | Anatidae | +94% |
| Blue-winged Teal | Anatidae | +103% |
| Mallard | Anatidae | +137% |
| Canada Goose | Anatidae | +239% |
| Black-bellied Whistling-Duck | Anatidae | +602% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.