Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Redhead Population Trend in Texas
Redhead in Texas has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
-51%Since 1978
10Routes In State
27Years
Notable Redhead Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Redhead has fallen sharply in Texas: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Redhead Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Redhead in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2028
0.04Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.2295% range
±57.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
Redhead Survey Routes in Texas
| Dalhart | 11 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Pantex | 4 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Waka | 4 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Floydada | 2 | 2016 | 2007 |
| Dougherty | 2 | 2017 | 1997 |
| Claytonville | 2 | 2022 | 2001 |
| Circle | 1 | 1999 | 1982 |
| Texline | 1 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Loyola Beach | 1 | 2000 | 1999 |
| Campbellton | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
Redhead Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.