BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Texas

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Texas has surged: up 239% on the route-weighted index since 2000.

+239%Since 2000
25Routes In State
22Years

Notable Canada Goose Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Texas: up 239% on the route-weighted index since 2000.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Texas is projected to rise about 373% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.00–0.72). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±135.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+373%Change by 2029
0.34Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7295% range
±135.7%Backtest error
19962029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.310.000.69
20260.310.000.69
20270.320.000.70
20280.330.000.71
20290.340.000.72

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Canada Goose in Texas.
Henrietta2520221996
Smyrna 22320232011
Lydia1420232012
Charlie920222022
Gambill Ref.820142009
Chandler 2620182011
Selden620181998
Floydada620052005
Morton520242023
Sadler520232009
Cayuga420232015
Massey Lake420232000
Panhandle420072007
Indianola320222022
Liberty Hill320232004
Rhome320242022
Blue Ridge220182018
Winnie220022002
Katy220222022
Glen Rose220162016
Weatherford220242004
Adamsville120242024
Athens120192007
Dike120182016
Twichell120222022

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.