Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Canada Goose Population Trend in Oklahoma
Canada Goose in Oklahoma has surged: up 573% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
+573%Since 1987
37Routes In State
37Years
Notable Canada Goose Trends in Oklahoma
long arc increasecomputed index
Canada Goose has surged in Oklahoma: up 573% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
Canada Goose Population Forecast in Oklahoma
If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 452% by 2029 — from 0.93 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.1 (95% range 2.1–8.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±221.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+452%Change by 2029
5.1Projected 2029 index
2.1–8.295% range
±221.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 7.7 |
| 2026 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 7.9 |
| 2027 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 8.0 |
| 2028 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 8.1 |
| 2029 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 8.2 |
Canada Goose Survey Routes in Oklahoma
| Wichita Mts West | 131 | 2022 | 2004 |
| Bartlesville | 42 | 2004 | 2003 |
| Blanco | 32 | 2002 | 1983 |
| Phillips | 18 | 2005 | 2003 |
| Indianola | 17 | 2023 | 2019 |
| Erick | 13 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Mill Creek | 12 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Collinsville | 12 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Wakita | 12 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Mcalester | 8 | 1990 | 1985 |
| Wichita Mtns | 8 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Beggs | 8 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Cooperton | 7 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Douglas | 6 | 2013 | 2003 |
| Elgin | 5 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Tatums | 5 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Wainwright | 5 | 1999 | 1997 |
| Duncan | 5 | 2021 | 1990 |
| Welch | 4 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Goodwater | 4 | 2021 | 2017 |
| Cashion | 4 | 2022 | 1993 |
| Peoria | 3 | 2022 | 2002 |
| Jet | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Holdenville | 2 | 2019 | 2010 |
| Choctaw | 2 | 2021 | 1991 |
Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.