BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Minnesota has surged: up 66× on the route-weighted index since 1975.

66×Since 1975
89Routes In State
51Years

Notable Canada Goose Trends in Minnesota

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Minnesota: up 66× on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Minnesota is projected to rise about 220% by 2029 — from 7.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 8.2–43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±162.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+220%Change by 2029
25Projected 2029 index
8.2–4395% range
±162.9%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025246.641
2026247.041
2027257.442
2028257.842
2029258.243

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Canada Goose in Minnesota.
Sherry Lake18220222018
Glenwood14120191993
Waskish13720232003
Evergreen13120241990
Whitewater12019971997
Hartland9120171978
Princeton7220231985
Le Center6020161993
Dawson5620221973
Fairmont4520231993
Backus3620211989
Arlington3420241991
Nett Lake3320212013
Huntley3220081980
Minnetonka3220241975
New London3120241995
Gluek2920181985
Tamarac Nwr2820241992
Courtland2620241981
Lake Bronson2620111990
Frontenac2620192006
Maynard2320151995
St Stephen2320081982
Mcgregor2320231993
Tracy2020242004

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.