BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Kansas

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Kansas has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+1%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
44Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
53YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Canada Goose Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Canada Goose in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Kansas is projected to rise about 204% by 2029 — from 0.85 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.31–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+204%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.31–4.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Kansas is projected to rise about 204% by 2029 — from 0.85 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.31–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.40.184.7
20262.50.214.7
20272.50.244.8
20282.50.284.8
20292.60.314.8

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Canada Goose in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lincolnville3620192007
Buckeye3220182006
Goessel3220172000
Le Loup2620162001
Coats2520222002
Albert2020161967
Ellinor1920171989
Ulysses1820172017
Berwet1720182002
Olathe1320181989
Wellington1220241991
Pittsburg1220172003
Galesburg920151990
Wreford920222005
Hollenberg920222006
St John820171984
Severance820242004
Ashland620142014
Hanover620231998
Kanopolis420172000
Ash Valley420192000
Longton420051998
Solomon420162004
Humboldt320221999
Lakin320091994

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.