BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Arkansas has surged: up 337% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

+337%Since 1990
33Routes In State
36Years

Notable Canada Goose Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Arkansas: up 337% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Arkansas is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 4.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 1.2–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2029
3.0Projected 2029 index
1.2–4.795% range
±15.5%Backtest error
19862029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.80.974.5
20262.81.04.6
20272.91.14.6
20282.91.14.7
20293.01.24.7

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Canada Goose in Arkansas.
Dell7020242018
South Bend3120191993
Crowley'S Ridge1520242012
Lurton1420232023
Hope1220242021
Wilson1120242000
Nance1020152009
Havana820212011
Saffell720192011
Eudora620102007
Locust Bayou620222002
Stark620232008
Hughes520211996
Zion520232021
Compton520222012
Russell520212013
Gillett520162010
Poyen 2420232008
Rupert320211990
England320242010
Stamps220242000
Harrisburg220122012
Coal Hill220191986
Massard220221997
Springhill220212021

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.