BirdAnalyst
Species · South Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in South Dakota

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in South Dakota has surged: up 45× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

45×Since 1972
48Routes In State
51Years

Notable Canada Goose Trends in South Dakota

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in South Dakota: up 45× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in South Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in South Dakota is projected to rise about 293% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.8 (95% range 5.0–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±84.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+293%Change by 2029
9.8Projected 2029 index
5.0–1595% range
±84.6%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.14.214
20269.34.414
20279.44.614
20289.64.815
20299.85.015

Canada Goose Survey Routes in South Dakota

Routes recording Canada Goose in South Dakota.
Britton10120231972
Raymond8020212005
Volga5320231985
Veblen3320231981
Ft Thompson2720111990
Rockyford2120232003
Owanka1920141988
Cottonwood1820241995
Chamberlain1620111990
Lane1619991999
Ottumwa1520221971
Broadland1420122002
Wilmot1220241979
Hayes1220211993
Maurine1120192008
Cedar Pass1020231970
White Lake920102010
Badlands820161997
Geddes620221999
Roswell620141991
Forbes620242011
Lodgepole620242017
Lane 2620082008
Indian420182011
Long Lake420191979

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.