Species · Delaware · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Canada Goose Population Trend in Delaware
Canada Goose in Delaware has surged: up 54× on the route-weighted index since 1970.
54×Since 1970
14Routes In State
51Years
Notable Canada Goose Trends in Delaware
long arc increasecomputed index
Canada Goose has surged in Delaware: up 54× on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Canada Goose Population Forecast in Delaware
If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Delaware is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 26 (95% range 8.8–43). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-44%Change by 2029
26Projected 2029 index
8.8–4395% range
±56.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 6.9 | 41 |
| 2026 | 25 | 7.4 | 42 |
| 2027 | 25 | 7.9 | 42 |
| 2028 | 26 | 8.4 | 43 |
| 2029 | 26 | 8.8 | 43 |
Canada Goose Survey Routes in Delaware
| Holleyville 2 | 146 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Harrington | 73 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Holleyville | 33 | 2004 | 1976 |
| Milton | 32 | 2016 | 1996 |
| Pepperbox | 29 | 2016 | 2002 |
| Mt Pleasant | 25 | 2019 | 1968 |
| Blackbird | 10 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Wilmington | 8 | 2013 | 1978 |
| Pepperbox 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Lowes Xrds | 4 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Georgetown | 2 | 2015 | 1999 |
| Frederica | 1 | 2013 | 1968 |
| Frankford | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Bethany Bch | 1 | 1990 | 1974 |
Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.