BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Kentucky has surged: up 22× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

22×Since 1977
43Routes In State
34Years

Notable Canada Goose Trends in Kentucky

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Kentucky: up 22× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Kentucky is projected to rise about 74% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 1.9–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+74%Change by 2029
4.3Projected 2029 index
1.9–6.795% range
±42.4%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.01.56.4
20264.11.66.5
20274.11.76.6
20284.21.86.7
20294.31.96.7

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Canada Goose in Kentucky.
Johnsonville2620212003
Buena Vista2320162003
Lebanon Junction2220242001
Joy1520232005
Eastview1220241977
Brownsville1020232023
Sulphur Lick1020241999
Lovelacevile820242008
Pleasurevill820242000
Hudson820232006
Mcbrayer720221990
Plum620232009
Carter520162006
Kings Mtn520142014
Levee 2520192008
Keysburg420211999
Hegira420182008
Sewell Shop420191993
Morganfield420242022
Merrimac320242001
Porter320151998
Bays Fork320192004
Cedar Grove220211990
Dixon220242008
Apex220092009

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.