BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Mississippi has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1992.

-39%Since 1992TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
38Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
34YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Canada Goose Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Canada Goose in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Canada Goose Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Mississippi is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 0.00–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–7.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±73.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Mississippi is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 0.00–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19902029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.30.007.6
20262.20.007.6
20272.20.007.5
20282.10.007.5
20292.10.007.5

Canada Goose Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Canada Goose in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cybur4320192008
Eagle Lake3220242022
Tippo1920091998
Grenada Lake1920192014
Isola1620001990
Olive Branch 21420222016
Trace North1220142009
Necaise1120222009
Cockrum1020222013
Trace Lee1020182014
Aberdeen1020222011
Embry1020192019
Dundee920192001
Benton920241997
Trace Hinds920162016
Shelby920092009
Latimer820191997
Benndale720212021
Vicksburg Np620212021
Trace Chickasaw520232023
Corinth420162016
Tallahatchie320231996
Duck Hill320241998
Forest320242024
Trace Madison320192015

Canada Goose Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.