Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-winged Teal Population Trend in Texas
Blue-winged Teal in Texas has surged: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+103%Since 1969
57Routes In State
56Years
Notable Blue-winged Teal Trends in Texas
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-winged Teal has surged in Texas: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Blue-winged Teal Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Blue-winged Teal in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.26 (95% range 0.00–0.55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±241.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5595% range
±241.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2026 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2027 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2028 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2029 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
Blue-winged Teal Survey Routes in Texas
| Cactus | 50 | 2023 | 2016 |
| Pantex | 10 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Glen Rose | 9 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Padre Island Pais | 8 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Katy | 7 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Pear Valley | 7 | 2016 | 2014 |
| Claytonville | 7 | 2019 | 2000 |
| Gruver | 6 | 2019 | 2005 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | 5 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Loyola Beach | 5 | 2008 | 1999 |
| Texline | 5 | 1999 | 1979 |
| Dougherty | 5 | 2017 | 1997 |
| Dalhart | 5 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Sadler | 4 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Waka | 4 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Winnie | 3 | 2019 | 1997 |
| Haskell | 3 | 2022 | 2016 |
| Kempner | 3 | 2006 | 1972 |
| Weinert | 3 | 1993 | 1972 |
| Fannin | 3 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Post | 3 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Lamesa | 3 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Childress | 3 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Lag Atascosa | 2 | 2004 | 1977 |
| Kingsville | 2 | 2010 | 1971 |
Blue-winged Teal Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.