Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Pintail Population Trend in Texas
Northern Pintail in Texas has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-63%Since 1973
18Routes In State
37Years
Notable Northern Pintail Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Pintail has fallen sharply in Texas: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Northern Pintail Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Northern Pintail in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±106.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.2795% range
±106.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2024 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
Northern Pintail Survey Routes in Texas
| Circle | 4 | 1982 | 1968 |
| Channing | 4 | 1980 | 1971 |
| Pantex | 4 | 2018 | 1975 |
| Booker | 4 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Claytonville | 3 | 2019 | 2005 |
| Katy | 3 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Floydada | 2 | 2018 | 1981 |
| Panhandle | 2 | 2022 | 2011 |
| Post | 2 | 2012 | 1987 |
| Lamesa | 2 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Raymondville | 1 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Texline | 1 | 1987 | 1980 |
| Waka | 1 | 2017 | 1975 |
| Dougherty | 1 | 2017 | 1997 |
| Weinert | 1 | 1992 | 1988 |
| Catarina | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Haskell | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Twichell | 1 | 2017 | 1999 |
Northern Pintail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.