BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Pintail Population Trend in Oregon

All statesWaterfowl

Northern Pintail in Oregon has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-81%Since 1973
33Routes In State
48Years

Notable Northern Pintail Trends in Oregon

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Pintail has collapsed in Oregon: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Northern Pintail Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Northern Pintail in Oregon is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±191.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.495% range
±191.4%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.005.4
20260.000.005.4
20270.000.005.4
20280.000.005.4
20290.000.005.4

Northern Pintail Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Northern Pintail in Oregon.
Ordnance4019721972
Catlow Rim2020051994
Blitzen1219811981
Fish Lake1020241972
Modoc Point819721972
Barnes Val619741974
Zumwalt420051997
Emigrant Lk419841973
Three Forks220242004
Umpqua220162016
Alvord Lake220241997
Adair220112008
Pendleton219921992
Clover Creek219941975
Blizzard Gap220231984
Battle Mtn219991988
Green Mtn.219981997
Merrill219981998
Sheaville220242021
Trout Creek220171998
Albee119951995
Logdell119861986
Hauser119731973
Buchanan119751975
Malheur Nwr119961986

Northern Pintail Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.