Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Pintail Population Trend in Nevada
Northern Pintail in Nevada has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-84%Since 1970
17Routes In State
45Years
Notable Northern Pintail Trends in Nevada
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Pintail has collapsed in Nevada: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Northern Pintail Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, Northern Pintail in Nevada is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.46 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±240%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±240%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 |
Northern Pintail Survey Routes in Nevada
| Rye Patch | 14 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Bald Mtn. | 13 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | 6 | 2017 | 2006 |
| Gardnerville | 5 | 2005 | 1993 |
| Sand Pass | 3 | 2001 | 1995 |
| Hiko | 3 | 1973 | 1969 |
| Chimney Res. | 2 | 2019 | 2005 |
| Ruby Valley | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Virgin Creek | 2 | 2017 | 2001 |
| Illipah | 2 | 2021 | 2009 |
| Fallon | 2 | 2010 | 1992 |
| Dobbin Creek | 2 | 2018 | 1971 |
| Darroughs Hot Spgs | 2 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Dinner Sta | 1 | 1971 | 1971 |
| Toiyabe Nf | 1 | 2016 | 2003 |
| Eureka | 1 | 2014 | 1975 |
| Majors Place | 1 | 2010 | 1968 |
Northern Pintail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.