BirdAnalyst
Guild · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Waterfowl In North Carolina

All statesNorth Carolina

4 species in this guild. As a group they are 13× since 1969.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for waterfowl in North Carolina. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in North Carolina is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 1.4–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
1.4–2.995% range
±20.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.01.32.8
20262.11.32.8
20272.11.42.8
20282.11.42.9
20292.21.42.9

Member Species In North Carolina

Waterfowl species in North Carolina.
American Black DuckAnatidae-91%
MallardAnatidae+101%
Wood DuckAnatidae+334%
Canada GooseAnatidae17×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.