Guild · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Waterfowl In Vermont
7 species in this guild. As a group they are +546% since 1968.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for waterfowl in Vermont. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in Vermont is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.79–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-28%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.79–2.295% range
±34.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.69 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 1.4 | 0.72 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 1.5 | 0.74 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 1.5 | 0.77 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 1.5 | 0.79 | 2.2 |
Member Species In Vermont
| American Black Duck | Anatidae | -87% |
| Blue-winged Teal | Anatidae | -61% |
| Wood Duck | Anatidae | +77% |
| Common Merganser | Anatidae | +202% |
| Hooded Merganser | Anatidae | +350% |
| Canada Goose | Anatidae | 24× |
| Mallard | Anatidae | 35× |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.