Guild · Rhode Island · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Waterfowl In Rhode Island

3 species in this guild. As a group they are -61% since 1970.

Guild Signals

guild collapsecomputed index

Waterfowl as a group have fallen sharply in Rhode Island, down 60% since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in Rhode Island is projected to rise about 32× by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 0.00–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2243.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

32×Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
0.002495% range
±2243.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025100.0024
2026100.0024
2027100.0024
2028110.0024
2029110.0024

Member Species In Rhode Island

Waterfowl species in Rhode Island.
Canada GooseAnatidae-75%
American Black DuckAnatidae+57%
MallardAnatidae+70%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.