BirdAnalyst
Guild · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Waterfowl In Arizona

All statesArizona

5 species in this guild. As a group they are +3% since 1970.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for waterfowl in Arizona. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in Arizona is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 0.37 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6295% range
±27.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.260.000.63
20260.260.000.63
20270.260.000.62
20280.260.000.62
20290.260.000.62

Member Species In Arizona

Waterfowl species in Arizona.
GadwallAnatidae-73%
Ruddy DuckAnatidae-72%
Black-bellied Whistling-DuckAnatidae-54%
Cinnamon TealAnatidae-24%
MallardAnatidae+42%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.