Guild · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Waterfowl In Kentucky

3 species in this guild. As a group they are 13× since 1968.

Guild Signals

No notable trend signals for waterfowl in Kentucky. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in Kentucky is projected to rise about 62% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.92–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+62%Change by 2029

1.6Projected 2029 index

0.92–2.495% range

±34.9%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% low	95% high
2025	1.5	0.82	2.3
2026	1.6	0.85	2.3
2027	1.6	0.87	2.3
2028	1.6	0.90	2.3
2029	1.6	0.92	2.4

Member Species In Kentucky

Waterfowl species in Kentucky.

Mallard	Anatidae	+147%
Wood Duck	Anatidae	+280%
Canada Goose	Anatidae	22×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.