Guild · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Waterfowl In Kansas

10 species in this guild. As a group they are -40% since 1969.

Guild Signals

guild collapsecomputed index

Waterfowl as a group have declined in Kansas, down 40% since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Waterfowl in Kansas is projected to rise about 81% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.68 (95% range 0.10–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+81%Change by 2029
0.68Projected 2029 index
0.101.395% range
±38%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.680.101.3
20260.680.101.3
20270.680.101.3
20280.680.101.3
20290.680.101.3

Member Species In Kansas

Waterfowl species in Kansas.
GadwallAnatidae-95%
Ruddy DuckAnatidae-93%
Blue-winged TealAnatidae-90%
Northern PintailAnatidae-81%
MallardAnatidae-79%
Green-winged TealAnatidae-72%
RedheadAnatidae-47%
Northern ShovelerAnatidae+1%
Canada GooseAnatidae+1%
Wood DuckAnatidae+370%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.