Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue Jay

CorvidaeForest birdsCyanocitta cristata

Blue Jay has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Blue Jay

A bold, crested member of the crow and jay family, the Blue Jay is a noisy, intelligent resident of eastern woodlands and backyards that famously caches acorns.

Size
10–12 in long, about 3 oz (25–30 cm, 85 g)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Acorns, nuts and seeds, plus insects; caches acorns in fall.
Range
Recorded on 2,798 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 41 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Corvidae · Forest birds
Conservation
Least Concern

Notable Blue Jay TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Blue Jay. See the full index history below.

Blue Jay Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 7.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.7 (95% range 3.8–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Blue Jay is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 7.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.7 (95% range 3.8–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.14.27.9
20266.04.17.8
20275.94.07.7
20285.83.97.6
20295.73.87.5

Where the Blue Jay Is Detected

BBS routes recording Blue Jay, sized by most recent count.

Blue Jay Population Trend by State

Blue Jay population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama-46%1968109
Arkansas-34%196961
Colorado+27%197540
Connecticut-61%196820
Delaware+4%196817
Florida-35%1968124
Georgia-50%1968111
Illinois-54%1968105
Indiana+3%196869
Iowa-43%196939
Kansas+67%196966
Kentucky-47%196864
Louisiana+20%196999
Maine-21%196878
Maryland-33%196876
Massachusetts-62%196832
Michigan+34%1968108
Minnesota+88%196992
Mississippi-35%196874
Missouri-8%196995
Montanainsufficient datan/a8
Nebraska+12%196971
New Hampshire-48%196826
New Jersey-47%196844
New Mexicoinsufficient datan/a3
New York+20%1968129
North Carolina-58%1968112
North Dakota+207%196942
Ohio+73%196889
Oklahoma-33%196965
Pennsylvania+37%1968137
Rhode Island-52%19687
South Carolina-41%196851
South Dakota-64%196950
Tennessee-46%196855
Texas+50%1969138
Vermont-19%196826
Virginia-49%196888
West Virginia+230%196863
Wisconsin+4%196898
Wyoming+72%197517

Blue Jay Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Blue Jay population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Prairie Potholes-36%1969101
Boreal Hardwood Transition+25%1968127
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain+58%196886
Atlantic Northern Forest-17%1968156
Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau-34%19868
Badlands and Prairies-49%196957
Shortgrass Prairie-51%196975
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+13%1969115
Edwards Plateau+260%197314
Oaks and Prairies+5%196968
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie-2%1968278
Prairie Hardwood Transition+6%1968161
Central Hardwoods-41%1968166
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas+4%1969109
Mississippi Alluvial Valley-2%196873
Southeastern Coastal Plain-39%1968346
Appalachian Mountains+1%1968405
Piedmont-37%1968171
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast-52%1968164
Peninsular Florida-43%196879
Gulf Coastal Prairie+29%196934

Blue Jay Conservation Status

Least Concern

The IUCN Red List rates this species as Least Concern. Our route-weighted index shows it down about 48% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.